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Exponential growth and decay by percentage

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Exponential Growth and Decay by Percentage

A clear walkthrough of exponential growth and decay by percentage, covering the formula A equals P times one plus or minus r to the power t, how to identify growth versus decay, and worked examples.

What is exponential growth and decay by percentage?

Exponential growth and decay by percentage describes a quantity that increases or decreases by the same percentage during each equal time period, such as each year, each hour, or each generation. Because the percentage is applied to whatever the current amount is (not the original amount), the actual change gets larger or smaller over time, even though the rate itself stays fixed. This is what makes the growth or decay "exponential" rather than linear.

You will see this model used for population growth, compound interest, inflation, radioactive decay, and depreciation of items like cars or equipment. If you have already looked at exponential growth and decay by a factor, this topic is the same idea, just written in terms of a percentage rate instead of a multiplying factor.

The percentage growth and decay formula

Both growth and decay by percentage come from the same basic formula:

\( A(t) = P(1 \pm r)^t \)

  • \(P\) is the initial (starting) amount, when \(t = 0\).
  • \(r\) is the percentage rate, written as a decimal (so 5% becomes \(0.05\)).
  • \(t\) is the number of time periods that have passed.
  • \(A(t)\) is the amount after \(t\) periods.

The sign in front of \(r\) tells you whether you have growth or decay:

  • Growth: \( A(t) = P(1 + r)^t \), where the base \(1 + r\) is greater than \(1\).
  • Decay: \( A(t) = P(1 - r)^t \), where the base \(1 - r\) is between \(0\) and \(1\).

Notice that both versions are exponential functions with \(t\) in the exponent, so their graphs share the same overall shape you studied when you learned to graph exponential functions: one curve rises without bound, and the other curve flattens out and approaches (but never reaches) zero.

Worked example: percentage growth

A town has a population of \(1000\) people, and the population grows by \(5\%\) each year. Write a function for the population after \(t\) years, and find the population after \(10\) years.

Step 1: Identify \(P\) and \(r\). Here \(P = 1000\) and \(r = 0.05\), and since the population is increasing, we use the growth formula.

Step 2: Write the function.

\( A(t) = 1000(1 + 0.05)^t = 1000(1.05)^t \)

Step 3: Substitute \(t = 10\).

\( A(10) = 1000(1.05)^{10} \approx 1628.9 \)

So after \(10\) years, the population is about \(1629\) people. The graph below shows how this population grows over \(20\) years, starting from \(1000\) and curving upward faster and faster.

Population growth of 5 percent per year, starting from 1000 people Plot of y = 1000*(1.05)**x for x in [0, 20] 0 5 10 15 20 1000 1500 2000 2500 years population (10, 1629)
Population growth of 5% per year, starting from 1000 people.

Worked example: percentage decay

A car is purchased for \($20{,}000\) and depreciates (loses value) by \(8\%\) each year. Write a function for its value after \(t\) years, and find its value after \(6\) years.

Step 1: Identify \(P\) and \(r\). Here \(P = 20000\) and \(r = 0.08\), and since the value is decreasing, we use the decay formula.

Step 2: Write the function.

\( A(t) = 20000(1 - 0.08)^t = 20000(0.92)^t \)

Step 3: Substitute \(t = 6\).

\( A(6) = 20000(0.92)^6 \approx 12240.6 \)

The car is worth about \($12{,}241\) after \(6\) years. Notice how the value keeps dropping toward zero but never actually reaches it, which is the hallmark of exponential decay.

Value depreciating by 8 percent per year, starting from 20000 Plot of y = 20000*(0.92)**x for x in [0, 20] 0 5 10 15 20 5000 10000 15000 20000 years value (6, 12241)
Value depreciating by 8% per year, starting from 20000.

Growth vs. decay: how to tell them apart quickly

Before writing any equation, decide whether the quantity is increasing or decreasing over time:

  • Words like "increases," "grows," "appreciates," or "doubles" point to growth, so you add \(r\): base \( = 1 + r\).
  • Words like "decreases," "decays," "depreciates," "shrinks," or "loses value" point to decay, so you subtract \(r\): base \( = 1 - r\).

A special and very common case of percentage decay is when the rate is exactly \(50\%\) per fixed period. That situation is called half-life, and it has its own shortcuts worth knowing; see exponential decay and half-life for that specific version of the decay formula.

Common mistakes to avoid

  • Forgetting to convert the percentage to a decimal. A rate of \(7\%\) means \(r = 0.07\), not \(r = 7\).
  • Mixing up the sign. Always check the wording carefully: growth uses \(1 + r\), decay uses \(1 - r\).
  • Using the wrong exponent. The exponent \(t\) must match the same time unit as the percentage rate (for example, if the rate is per year, \(t\) must be in years).

Why this matters going forward

Percentage-based growth and decay problems set up the equations you will later need to solve for time, which requires isolating an exponent using logarithms; that skill is covered in solving logarithmic equations. Being comfortable writing \(A(t) = P(1 \pm r)^t\) correctly is the foundation for all of that later work.

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