Likelihood for simple events

All in One Place

Everything you need for JC, LC, and college level maths and science classes.

Learn with Ease

We’ve mastered the national curriculum so that you can revise with confidence.

Instant Help

24/7 access to the best tips, walkthroughs, and practice exercises available.

  1. Introduction to Basic Probability for Simple Events:
  2. How to describe the likelihood of something happening
  3. Likelihood on a probability number line
  4. Simple events on the probability line (coins, dice, spinners)
  1. Expectation and likelihood for simple events
    Draw a point on the probability line for the likelihood of the event to happen. Describe using one of the words: likely, unlikely, impossible, certain, or equally likely.
    Likelihood for Simple Events
    1. Rolling greater than 3 on a six-sided die
    2. Rolling less than 7 on a six-sided die
    3. Rolling the number 6 on a six-sided die
    4. Rolling the number 8 on a six-sided die
    5. Rolling greater than 2 on a six-sided die
  2. Likelihood and probability: word problem
    On a weather app, it shows the weather forecast for tomorrow with hourly weather predictions (for 24 hours). It will rain some time in the day.

    Likelihood for Simple Events
    1. List all the possible outcomes for the weather at any time tomorrow.
    2. Write the probabilities for each possible outcome. Are the outcomes equally as likely?
    3. If you went outside at any random time tomorrow, how likely will you need to bring an umbrella?
    4. If the weather forecast for the next day has the same outcomes as tomorrow, but they will be equally as likely to happen. How many hours out of the day will it be predicted to rain?
Free to Join!
StudyPug is a learning help platform covering math and science from grade 4 all the way to second year university. Our video tutorials, unlimited practice problems, and step-by-step explanations provide you or your child with all the help you need to master concepts. On top of that, it's fun - with achievements, customizable avatars, and awards to keep you motivated.
  • Easily See Your Progress

    We track the progress you've made on a topic so you know what you've done. From the course view you can easily see what topics have what and the progress you've made on them. Fill the rings to completely master that section or mouse over the icon to see more details.
  • Make Use of Our Learning Aids

    Last Viewed
    Practice Accuracy
    Suggested Tasks

    Get quick access to the topic you're currently learning.

    See how well your practice sessions are going over time.

    Stay on track with our daily recommendations.

  • Earn Achievements as You Learn

    Make the most of your time as you use StudyPug to help you achieve your goals. Earn fun little badges the more you watch, practice, and use our service.
  • Create and Customize Your Avatar

    Play with our fun little avatar builder to create and customize your own avatar on StudyPug. Choose your face, eye colour, hair colour and style, and background. Unlock more options the more you use StudyPug.
Topic Notes

In this lesson, we will learn:

  • What is the likelihood of different probability events?
  • The likelihood of an event can either be: impossible, unlikely, as likely as not, likely, or certain
  • How to understand likelihood using a probability line (probability number line)


  • The probability of an event is a value of how likely it is to happen. We can quantify the chances of something happening using a probability fraction: PP(event) = number outcomes wantedtotal number possibilities\frac{number\,outcomes\,wanted}{total\,number\,possibilities}

  • The likelihood of an event can be described using the following phrases:
    • Impossible - it will never happen
    • Unlikely - low chances of happening (less than half the chances)
    • As likely as not - just as likely to happen as to not happen (even chances; exactly half the chances)
    • Likely - high chances of happening (more than half the chances)
    • Certain - it will always happen (happen for sure)

  • How does the value of the probability fraction represent the likelihood of an event?
    • It can tell us how likely or unlikely something is to happen.
    • The tool we can use to help us understand likelihood is the probability number line (probability line)
Likelihood for Simple Events

  • The probability line goes from 0 to 1 because the smallest probability fraction for any event is 0 out of any number of outcomes. The greatest probability fraction for any event is that it always happens (100% of the time = fraction of 1 whole).

  • Ex. For rolling a six-sided die, there is a 1 in 6 chance to land on any numbered side. Rolling any of the six numbers has a low chance (all the outcomes are unlikely events).
    • If you add all the probability fractions of all outcomes, the answer will be 1 whole (considering every single possible result)
Likelihood for Simple Events